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This weekend, we’ve got a 14-fight card at Brazil. DraftKings has some decent competitions out there for this Fight Night card, which is uncommon for these free ones. The main tourney is the $8 entrance and pays $20k to 1st. That is the main GPP I’ll be pursuing this week. As always, I’m in the 3-entry max and only entry GPPs as well. However, this week DraftKings includes two contests for trips out to Vegas to see that the McGregor vs Khabib fight. Hotel, flight, and struggles all paid for. The floor seats competition is a $33 entrance and the non-floor seats contest is simply a $15 entrance. I will need to take a few shots at that too. Additionally, DraftKings simply released a contest for UFC 299 that is a $10 entry having a gigantic $100,000 to 1st place. That’s unquestionably the biggest prize we’ve ever seen in DFS MMA, so let’s build a bankroll this weekend so we are able to take a few extra shots at that $100k. With that said, here are a few plays I like this week as well as my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of this week — Livia Renata Souza ($9,600)
Livia Souza is your safest win on the card and I think she gets this fight finished early. This is where I’m starting my cash LUs this week. Only give me the -1100 favored who is being fed an easy win , for my cash games. I really do like a great deal of the top favorites with this particular card, I simply are the most shocked if Souza lost. I think she is good in both formats, but she will probably be chalky in GPPs, so money games are the best place to get your Souza investment this week. Simply take this triumph, and then find others and you should be good in cash games.
GPP play of the week — Charles Oliveira ($9,400)
I am a large Charles”Can Bronx” Oliveira enthusiast, and he has a few of my favorites in UFC history. I think we could see another awesome one here. This battle appears to be easy to call. Do Bronx will start looking for the early takedown and if he can get it then he likely receives a 1st round sub. If that happens he must lock up a strong 100 points and I am pretty certain in being the results of this fight, so that is why he is my GPP play of the week. He is also my GPP drama of the week, and not my Money play of the week for a motive. If he can’t get the takedown(s) early, then he will likely stop and get completed himself together with strikes. I really don’t like that danger of a reduced floor for my own money LU, therefore I favor Souza there. But in GPPs I enjoy saving the 200 and going down to Do Bronx.
Underdog drama of this week — Eryk Anders ($7,600)
I would like Anders more if he wasn’t taking this fight on short notice, and if it wasn’t in Brazil. But he does have a clear route to success here and that’s by knocking outside Santos who doesn’t have a fantastic chin. Anders could also go for takedowns in this struggle and he can win with some hard GNP too. At $7.6k he will almost surely wind up on the winning LU if he’s able to get the KO. This is the main event, so he’ll have 5 rounds to function with. I do think that is a solid matchup for Anders, however he has to be competitive and never hang out to the exterior. If he hangs out to the outside too long Santos will eat him up with kisses and it might be a short night for Anders. I am going to select him to get the win here as an underdog in Brazil and I think he gets it done in the first two rounds with a KO. That will easily pay off his $7.6k salary and it’ll win you a GPP if you’re able to get your additional five spots correct also.
Fade of this week — Sam Alvey ($9,200)
Sam Alvey is a fade for me. I wrote him up as my fade of this week on here, I was quite wrong and that he scored over 100 points. Then so be it, if that happens here. However, I refuse to rely on an early KO win to cover off a 9.2k salary by a guy who doesn’t throw many strikes. At $9.2k I want at least 92 points from Alvey if I roll up him and the only way get gets that’s using a 1st round KO win. That could occur here against a 42-year-old Lil Nog, but I am not willing to invest my money in it.
If you would like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown with investigation on every fight, my personal strategies & suggestions, and my pick outlook for every single fight then you can discover that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
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