Home / Uncategorized / NASCAR at Richmond odds, picks 2019: Model says Kyle Larson surprises at Toyota Owners 400

NASCAR at Richmond odds, picks 2019: Model says Kyle Larson surprises at Toyota Owners 400

For first time this year, NASCAR will probably be under the lights when the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday at Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR in Richmond as the pioneer at the NASCAR Monster Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He is searching for his fourth win of this year and the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds give him a 9-4 chance to get it starts in fifth place after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the fastest speed in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, giving him the pole position. His NASCAR in Richmond chances have moved out of 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are one of the other leading contenders at this .75-mile brief track. Before bending in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 selections of your own, first make certain to have a look at the NASCAR predictions in the proven computer version at SportsLine.

Produced by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors like track record and current results into consideration.

The model is off to a solid start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top-four contender from the beginning. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers in the Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano at its projected top five. Additionally, it nailed Busch’s huge win at Bristol a week. Anyone who has followed its selections is far up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic venues like Richmond Raceway are in his bloodstream. Now, his model simulated the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

For NASCAR at Richmond 2019, we could tell you that the version is high on Kyle Larson, who makes a solid run at taking the checkered flag despite going off at 25-1 NASCAR in Richmond odds.

Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, which is that the third-best among active drivers. He’s finished seventh or better in four of his last five events at Richmond and won the Richmond fall race in 2017. He’ll start in 14th place after a slightly slower than anticipated qualifying period of 123.54 MPH. But he posted the fastest lap (121.70 MPH) at the first practice session on Friday, so he has revealed the rate needed to scale the NASCAR in Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.

Along with a massive shocker: Truex Jr., among the best Vegas favorites at 6-1, doesn’t crack the top five. There are far better worth in a loaded 2019 NASCAR at Richmond lineup.

The 39-year-old veteran is sitting at seventh in the standings, but he’s tapered off recently. Truex finished 12th at Texas Motor Speedway and then fought last week in Bristol, finishing 17th. In his career, Truex has not fared very well at Richmond Raceway either. In reality, he has finished in the top five just 3 times in 26 career starts at the track.

The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds of 20-1 or even more time to make a serious run at winning everything. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big.

Read more: free horse racing picks today

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