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For first time this year, NASCAR will probably be under the lights when the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday in Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR at Richmond as the pioneer in the NASCAR Dragon Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He’s looking for his fourth win of the year and the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances provide him a 9-4 chance to receive it starts in fifth position after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the fastest pace in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, giving him the pole position. His NASCAR at Richmond chances have moved from 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are among the other top contenders in this .75-mile brief track. Before locking in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 picks of your own, first make certain to check out the NASCAR predictions from the proven computer version at SportsLine.
Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors like track record and current results into consideration.
The model is off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top-four contender from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano at its projected top . Additionally, it nailed Busch’s huge win at Bristol last week. Anybody who has followed its picks is far up.
McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic venues like Richmond Raceway have been in his blood. Now, his version mimicked the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were surprising.
For NASCAR at Richmond 2019, we could tell you the model is high on Kyle Larson, making a strong run at taking the checkered flag despite heading off at 25-1 NASCAR at Richmond odds.
Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, that’s that the third-best among active drivers. He’s finished seventh or better in four of his last five events at Richmond and won the Richmond fall race in 2017. He’ll start in 14th place after a slightly slower than expected qualifying period of 123.54 MPH. But he posted the quickest lap (121.70 MPH) at the first practice session on Friday, so he has shown the rate required to scale the NASCAR in Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.
And a massive shocker: Truex Jr., among the best Vegas favorites in 6-1, doesn’t crack the top five. There are far better values in a loaded 2019 NASCAR at Richmond lineup.
The 39-year-old veteran is sitting at seventh in the standings, but he is tapered off lately. Truex finished 12th at Texas Motor Speedway and then struggled last week at Bristol, finishing 17th. In his profession, Truex hasn’t fared well at Richmond Raceway either. In reality, he has finished in the top five just 3 times in 26 career starts at the track.
The model is also targeting two additional motorists with 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds of 20-1 or even longer to make a serious run at winning it all. Anybody who backs these long shots can hit it big.
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